Steve Flynn  RE/MAX Crest Realty- Burnaby 

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The Bank of Canada raised its overnight policy rate by 50 basis points, bringing it to 4.25 per cent, its highest level since 2008. In the statement accompanying the decision, the Bank noted that the Canadian economy continues to operate in excess demand with tight labour markets and as a result inflation remains elevated. There is increasing evidence that tighter monetary policy is restraining the domestic economy, with household spending declining in the third quarter while interest-rate sensitive sectors like housing continue to sharply contract. The Bank continues to expect economic growth to stall through the end of 2022 and into the first half of 2023. Inflation is expected to ease over the next year, falling to 3 per cent in 2023 and returning to the 2 per cent inflation target in 2024. The next rate announcement is on January 25th, 2023. 

After a year of aggressive tightening that now appears to be at or very close to an end, the Bank may reverse course in the second half of 2023 as the economy slows significantly or even tips into recession. Crucially, any loosening of monetary policy will only occur if we see a sustained decline in inflation. Given weakening economic growth, falling gasoline and other commodity prices, and fading effects from pandemic driven supply chain problems, we could see a significant downward trajectory for inflation in 2023, which would provide the Bank with the necessary support to begin lowering its policy rate.



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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Canadian employment rose by a hair to 19.666 million in November, up by 10,000 (0.05 per cent). The Canadian unemployment rate fell by 0.1 to 5.1 per cent, hovering just above all-time lows. Average hourly wages were up 5.6 per cent from this time last year. Wage gains remain below the inflation rate, however, which hit 6.9 per cent year-over-year in the most-recent data. Total hours worked were up 1.8 per cent year-over-year. 

Employment in BC fell by 0.5 per cent to 2.748 million in November, while Metro Vancouver's employment rose by 0.1 per cent month over month. BC's unemployment rate rose in November to 4.4 per cent, still near record lows, while Metro Vancouver's rate rose to 4.7 per cent. Among the provinces, only Quebec and Saskatchewan currently have a lower unemployment rate. 



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver* is currently $1,131,600. This represents a 1.5% decrease from Oct 2022 and a 0.6% decrease from November 2021.


Specifically:

- The benchmark price for detached homes decreased 1.9% from Oct 2022 and decreased 1.7% from Nov 2021.


- The benchmark price for townhouses decreased 0.9% from Oct 2022 and increased 3.5% from Nov 2021.


- The benchmark price for apartment/condos decreased 1.5% from Oct 2022 and increased 2.7% from Nov 2021.



*Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.

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Home sale and listing activity in Metro Vancouver* continue trending below long-term averages in November:


The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,614 in November 2022, a 52.9 per cent decrease from the 3,428 sales recorded in November 2021, and a 15.2 per cent decrease from the 1,903 homes sold in October 2022. Last month’s sales were 36.9 per cent below the 10-year November sales average.


“With the most recent core inflation metrics showing a stubborn reluctance to respond significantly to the furious pace of rate increases, the Bank of Canada may choose to act more forcefully to bring inflation back toward target levels.” Andrew Lis, REBGV’s director, economics and data analytics said. “While it’s always difficult to predict what the bank will do with certainty, this persistent inflationary backdrop sets up the December 6 rate announcement to be yet another increase, making holiday-season home sales something many people may end up foregoing this year.”


There were 3,055 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in November 2022. This represents a 22.9 per cent decrease compared to the 3,964 homes listed in November 2021 and a 24.2 per cent decrease compared to October 2022 when sellers listed 4,033 homes.


The total number of homes currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 9,179, a 28.5 per cent increase compared to November 2021 (7,144) and a 6.8 per cent decrease compared to October 2022 (9,852). “Heading into 2023, the market continues the trend of shifting toward historical averages and typical seasonal norms,” Lis said. “Whether these trends continue will depend on looming economic factors and forthcoming housing policy measures on the horizon, which hold the potential to reignite uncertainty in our market.


“With that said, from a long-term structural standpoint, the current pace of listings and available inventory remain relatively tight when considered against a backdrop of continued in-migration to the province. With the recently announced increase in federal immigration targets, the state of available supply in our market remains one demand surge away from renewed price escalation, despite the inflationary environment and elevated mortgage rates.”


For all property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for November 2022 is 17.6 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 13.2 per cent for detached homes, 19.7 per cent for townhomes, and 20.8 per cent for apartments. Generally, analysts say downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.


The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,131,600. This represents a 0.6 per cent decrease over November 2021, a 10.2 per cent decrease over the last six months, and a 1.5 per cent decrease compared to October 2022.


Sales of detached homes in November 2022 reached 486, a 50.8 per cent decrease from the 987 detached sales recorded in November 2021. The benchmark price for detached properties is $1,856,800. This represents a 1.7 per cent decrease from November 2021 and a 1.9 per cent decrease compared to October 2022.


Sales of apartment homes reached 847 in November 2022, a 53.7 per cent decrease compared to the 1,828 sales in November 2021. The benchmark price of an apartment property is $720,500. This represents a 3.5 per cent increase from November 2021 and a 0.9 per cent decrease compared to October 2022.


Attached home sales in November 2022 totalled 281, a 54.2 per cent decrease compared to the 613 sales in November 2021. The benchmark price of an attached unit is $1,027,900. This represents a 2.7 per cent increase from November 2021 and a 1.5 per cent decrease compared to October 2022.




Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

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Please visit our Open House at 702 719 PRINCESS ST in New Westminster.
Open House on Sunday, December 4, 2022 1:00PM - 3:00PM
BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 680k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, bike room. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. RENTALS allowed! No pets allowed. OPEN HOUSE: Sun. Dec 4, 1-3pm.
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Canadian real GDP rose 0.1 per cent in September, up for the eighth consecutive month. Goods-producing sectors rose 0.3 per cent while services-producing industries were essentially flat. Canadian real GDP is now roughly 2.8 per cent above its pre-pandemic, February 2020 level. Preliminary estimates suggest that output in the Canadian economy was unchanged in October.

Growth in the third quarter of 2022 registered 2.9 per cent at an annualized rate from the prior quarter, rising for the fifth consecutive quarter. Businesses continued to expand their inventories, while retail and wholesale trade sectors recorded higher stocks of motor vehicles. Housing investment fell 4.1 per cent on higher interest rates, as home renovations (-6.6 per cent) and resale activities (-13.8 per cent) were down for the second and third consecutive quarters respectively. In contrast, new construction (+2.4 per cent) and business investment in non-residential structures (+2.8 per cent) both rose. Exports were up 2.1 per cent on higher oil production while household spending edged down 0.3 per cent in the third quarter, the first decline since the second quarter of 2021. 

GDP growth in the third quarter, though beating the Bank of Canada's expectations, continues to show signs of slowing. The slowdown in GDP growth will likely continue into 2023 as the bank continues and then perhaps concludes its tightening cycle. The Bank is expected to raise its overnight rate again at its upcoming rate announcement on December 8th, but analysts expect the pace of hikes to slow following that meeting. Currently at 3.75 per cent, we expect the overnight rate to increase another 50 to 100 basis points. GDP growth will remain slow, particularly in interest rate sensitive sectors like housing, while the bank continues to increase rates.



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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Listed at $698,800:


BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 680k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. 

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Please visit our Open House at 702 719 PRINCESS ST in New Westminster.
Open House on Sunday, November 27, 2022 1:00PM - 3:00PM
BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 680k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, bike room. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. OPEN HOUSE: Sun. Nov 27, 1-3pm.
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Canadian seasonally-adjusted retail sales fell 0.5 per cent in September to $61.1 billion. Sales fell in 7 of 11 subsectors, but were led by lower sales at food and beverage stores (-1.3 per cent) and gas stations (-2.4 per cent). Core retail sales, which strips out gasoline and motor vehicle and parts dealers, fell 0.4 per cent in September. In volume terms, sales were down 0.1 per cent. 

In BC, seasonally-adjusted sales fell 2 per cent in September. Compared to the same month last year, retail sales were up 3.1 per cent in the province. In the Greater Vancouver region, sales fell 3.8 per cent month-over-month and were up 3.5 per cent year-over-year. 

In September, Canadian e-commerce sales fell 3.3 per cent to $3.4 billion, corresponding to 5.7 per cent of retail sales. This percentage remains elevated relative to pre-pandemic levels, but is lower than during core months of the pandemic in 2020 and 2021. 



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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Listed at $698,800:


BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 680k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. 

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Please visit our Open House at 702 719 PRINCESS ST in New Westminster.
Open House on Sunday, November 20, 2022 2:00PM - 4:00PM
BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 680k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, bike room. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. OPEN HOUSE: Sun. Nov 20, 2-4 pm.
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Canadian housing starts fell by 31.8k (-10.6 per cent) to 267.1k units in October at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Comparing year-over-year, starts were up from October of 2021 (11.5 per cent). Single-detached housing starts fell 4 per cent to 72.8k, while multi-family and others fell 13 per cent to 194.3k (SAAR). 

In British Columbia, starts fell by 14 per cent in October to 46.6k units SAAR in all areas of the province. In areas in the province with 10,000 or more residents, single-detached starts fell 4 per cent m/m to 7.7k units while multi-family starts fell 17 per cent to 35k units. Starts in the province were 29.5 per cent above the levels from October 2021. Starts were down by 6.1k in Vancouver, 1.1k in Abbotsford, and 0.6k in Kelowna, but were up by 4.1k in Victoria. The 6-month moving average trend fell 2.3 per cent to 49.3k in BC in October. 



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a total of 5,242 residential unit sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in October 2022, a decrease of 45.5 per cent from October 2021. The average MLS® residential price in BC was $932,979, a 3.1 per cent decrease from $963,011 recorded in October 2021. Total sales dollar volume was $4.9 billion, a 47.2 per cent decline from the same time last year. 


“Sales activity remains slow across the province and inventories appear to be plateauing,” said BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “While prices have fallen from peak levels reached in early 2022, average prices have recently leveled off.”
  

Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume was down 26.3 per cent from the same period in 2021 to $73.3 billion. Residential unit sales were down 33 per cent to 72,824 units, while the average MLS® residential price was up 10 per cent to $1.01 million.



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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Canadian prices, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 6.9 per cent on a year-over-year basis in October, a rate of change equal to the prior month. After falling for the prior three months, a rise in gasoline prices in October kept the CPI steady year-over-year. Excluding energy, the CPI rose 6.2 per cent year over year in October, down from 6.3 per cent last month. Rising interest rates also contributed to an increase in mortgage interest costs, which was up 11.2 per cent year-over-year as Canadians renewed or initiated higher-rate mortgages. Slowing increases in food prices, meanwhile, dampened overall CPI growth. Month-over-month, on a seasonally-adjusted basis, prices were up 0.6 per cent in October. In BC, consumer prices rose 7.8 per cent year-over-year, up from 7.7 per cent last month. Average hourly wages grew 5.6 per cent year-over-year in October, indicating a decline in purchasing power. 

October's CPI numbers continued to suggest that inflation may be slowing. Despite higher gasoline prices, slowing increases in food prices kept the annual rate of change in the CPI stable. Core inflation, however, remains well above the Bank of Canada's 2 per cent target and will need to decline significantly over the next several months before the Bank rethinks its current tightening policy. 



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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Listed at $698,800:


BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 670k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. 

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Please visit our Open House at 702 719 PRINCESS ST in New Westminster.
Open House on Sunday, November 13, 2022 1:00PM - 3:00PM
BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 670k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. OPEN HOUSE: Sun. Nov 13, 1-3 pm.
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Please visit our Open House at 702 719 PRINCESS ST in New Westminster.
Open House on Sunday, November 13, 2022 1:00PM - 3:00PM
BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 670k in CRF & new EV charging in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. OPEN HOUSE: Sun. Nov 13, 1-3 pm.
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I have listed a new property at 702 719 PRINCESS ST in New Westminster.
BIG, BRIGHT and in excellent condition! This fantastic 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace! Open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 670k in CRF & new EV charging in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed.
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Canadian employment rose by 108,000 (0.6 per cent) to 19.656 million in October. The Canadian unemployment rate remained steady from last month at 5.2 per cent, hovering just above all-time lows. Average hourly wages were up 5.6 per cent from this time last year. Wage gains remain below the inflation rate, however, which hit 6.9 per cent year-over-year in the most-recent data. Total hours worked were up 2.2 per cent year-over-year. 

Employment in BC rose by 0.4 per cent to 2.762 million in October, while Metro Vancouver's employment rose by 0.3 per cent month over month. BC's unemployment rate fell in October to 4.2 per cent, just shy of the all-time low, while Metro Vancouver's rate fell to 4.4 per cent. Among the provinces, only Quebec currently has a lower unemployment rate. 



Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


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The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver* is currently $1,148,900. This represents a 0.6% decrease from September 2022 and a 2.1% increase from September 2021.



Specifically:

- The benchmark price for detached homes decreased 0.7% from Sep 2022 and increased 1.6% from Oct 2021.


- The benchmark price for townhouses decreased 0.5% from Sep 2022 and increased 7.1% from Oct 2021.


- The benchmark price for apartment/condos decreased 0.2% from Sep 2022 and increased 5.1% from Oct 2021.



*Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.

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The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB.