Canadian prices, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 1.7 per cent on a year-over-year basis in July, down from a 1.9 per cent increase in June. Month-over-month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI was up 0.1 per cent in July. Downward pressure on headline inflation was driven by a sharper fall in gasoline prices year-over-year compared to June. The CPI ex-gasoline has held at 2.5 per cent over the past three months.  Additionally, shelter price growth rose for the first time since February 2024, with prices growing by 3.0 per cent in July, slightly up from 2.9 per cent in June. Food purchased in grocery stores rose at a faster pace of 3.4 per cent year-over-year compared to 2.8 per cent the previous month. In BC, consumer prices rose 1.7 per cent year-over-year in July, down from 2.1 per cent in June. The Bank of Canada's preferred measures of median and trimmed inflation, which strip out volatile components, are 3.1 per cent and 3.0 per cent year-over-year, respectively. 
 
July's CPI report continues to show a divergence between headline and core inflation, largely due to monthly fluctuations in energy prices. The Bank of Canada's core measures of inflation have remained at the upper end—and even outside of—their target range for the past three months as tariffs continue passing through the economy. With 3-month annualized core inflation dropping a full point to 2.4 per cent, this report slightly favours a rate cut from the Bank of Canada in September, as the downside risks to growth remain strong from ongoing trade uncertainties.

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Canadian housing starts increased 4 per cent from the previous month, totalling 294,085 units in July at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Starts were up 7 per cent from the same month last year. Single-detached housing starts decreased by 1 per cent from last month to 55,740 units, while multi-family and other starts increased by 5 per cent to 238,342 units (SAAR). 

In British Columbia, starts fell by 15 per cent from last month to 56,918 units (SAAR) in all areas of the province. In areas of the province with 10,000 or more residents, single-detached starts increased by 1 per cent to 3,953 units, while multi-family starts fell by 17 per cent to 50,394 units month-over-month. Starts in the province were 16 per cent above the levels from July 2024. Year-to-date starts are up 147 per cent in Abbotsford and 29 per cent in Victoria, but down 71 per cent in Nanaimo, 36 per cent in Kelowna, and 5 per cent in Vancouver.

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The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that 7,056 residential unit sales were recorded in Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) Systems in July 2025, up 2.2 per cent from July 2024. The average MLS® residential price in BC in July 2025 was down 2.1 per cent at $942,686 compared to $963,047 in July 2024.

The total sales dollar volume was $6.7 billion, virtually unchanged from the same time the previous year. BC MLS® unit sales were 16 per cent lower than the ten-year July average.
 
“Housing markets across BC continue to build momentum through the summer, with all regions apart from the Lower Mainland boasting higher sales activity from the previous year,” said BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “With a stable trajectory for monetary policy, we expect sales in the province will continue to improve as tariff uncertainties fade.”
 
Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume is down 9.4 per cent to $40.8 billion, compared with the same period in 2024. Residential unit sales are down 5.7 per cent year-over-year at 42,895 units, while the average MLS® residential price is also down 3.9 per cent to $952,323.

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Canadian employment decreased by 0.2 per cent from the previous month, losing 41,000 jobs to 21.020 million in July. The employment rate fell by 0.2 points to 60.7 per cent, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.9 per cent. Average hourly wages rose 3.3 per cent year-over-year to $36.16 last month, while total hours worked were up 0.3 per cent compared to July of the previous year.

Employment in B.C. fell by 0.5 per cent to 2.953 million, losing 16,300 jobs in July. Employment in Metro Vancouver fell by 2.2 per cent to 1.697 million in July. The unemployment rate in B.C. increased by 0.3 points to 5.9 per cent in July. Meanwhile, Vancouver's unemployment rate also rose by 0.3 points to 6.1 per cent in the seventh month of the year. 

July's jobs report echoes many of the same themes of the first half of the year—namely, weak labour force growth. Once again, job losses were concentrated in both full-time work (-51,000) and the private sector (-39,000), signifying that employment growth is largely driven by part-time and seasonal positions. Moreover, youth employment continues to flounder, with the unemployment rate for this demographic reaching its highest level (14.6 per cent) since September 2010 (excluding pandemic years). Overall, the Canadian labour market in 2025 has remained cool, with minimal employment growth (+0.1 per cent) since January and an unemployment rate near its highest level since the pandemic. After another hold at its previous meeting, this report favours a rate cut from the Bank of Canada in September, as they look to stimulate a struggling economy and labour market while holding inflation steady.

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver* is $1,165,300. This represents a 2.7 per cent decrease over July 2024 and a 0.7 per cent decrease compared to May 2025.

Specifically:

- The benchmark price for detached homes decreased 3.6% from July 2024 and decreased 1.0% from June 2025.

- The benchmark price for townhouses/attached decreased 2.3% from July 2024 and decreased 0.4% from June 2025.

- The benchmark price for apartment/condos decreased 3.2% from July 2024 and decreased 0.6% from June 2025.

*Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.

Canadian real GDP decreased by 0.1 per cent in May, following a 0.1 per cent decrease in April. Service-producing industries remained unchanged, while goods-producing industries edged down by 0.1 per cent. Thirteen out of twenty major industries contracted from the previous month, led by broad-based decreases in retail trade (-1.2 per cent), mining, quarrying, and oil and gas (-1.0 per cent) and public administration (-0.2 per cent). Conversely, both the manufacturing (0.7 per cent) and transportation/warehousing (0.6 per cent) sectors grew following contractions in April. Finally, GDP for real estate offices and agents was up 3.5 per cent month-over-month. Preliminary estimates suggest that real GDP increased by 0.1 per cent in June while remaining unchanged for the second quarter of 2025.

May's GDP data points to continued weakness through the second quarter, as the impact of tariffs continues to filter through the Canadian economy. Following another rate hold yesterday, the Bank of Canada reiterated its concern about propelling core inflation beyond its already elevated level through monetary policy. Therefore, even in the face of ongoing negative growth, the Bank will likely need to see trimmed and median inflation moderate toward its midpoint before cutting the overnight rate. With that being said, attention now shifts towards August's CPI and GDP prints, which will illustrate how the Canadian economy performed in the second quarter relative to the Bank's most recent projections—a comparison that will heavily influence its next policy decision in mid-September.

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Canadian retail sales decreased by 1.1 per cent to $69.2 billion in May compared to the previous month. Compared to the same time last year, retail sales were up by 4.9 per cent. Furthermore, core retail sales, which exclude gasoline and automobile items, were relatively unchanged month-over-month. In volume terms, adjusted for rising prices, retail sales decreased by 1.4 per cent in May.

Retail sales in British Columbia were down 0.4 per cent in May from the previous month and rose by 7.1 per cent compared to the same time last year. In the CMA of Vancouver, retail sales were down 1.1 per cent from the prior month and were 9.0 per cent above the level of May 2024.

May's report largely nullified previous momentum in retail activity over the last 3 months, with sales falling to their lowest level since February of this year. Tariffs continue to hinder Canadian business operations, with over 30 per cent of respondents reporting impact through changes in price and demand for both their raw materials and final products. With core inflation nearing its upper limit, the Bank of Canada appears braced for another rate hold, pending May’s GDP report—the final key data point for the Bank to consider before its meeting.

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Canadian housing starts were largely flat from the previous month, totalling 283,734 units in June at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Starts were up 18 per cent from the same month last year. Single-detached housing starts increased by 1 per cent from last month to 56,645 units, while multi-family and other starts were flat at 227,086 units (SAAR). 

In British Columbia, starts rose by 72 per cent from last month to 67,029 units (SAAR) in all areas of the province. In areas of the province with 10,000 or more residents, single-detached starts increased by 1 per cent to 3,880 units, while multi-family starts rose by 85 per cent to 60,314 units month-over-month. Starts in the province were 64 per cent above the levels from June 2024. Year-to-date starts are up 130 per cent in Abbotsford and 23 per cent in Victoria, but down 70 per cent in Nanaimo, 33 per cent in Kelowna, and 11 per cent in Vancouver.

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Canadian prices, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 1.9 per cent on a year-over-year basis in June, up from a 1.7 per cent increase in May. Month-over-month, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI was up 0.2 per cent in June. Upward pressure on headline inflation was largely driven by a slower fall in gasoline prices year-over-year compared to May, along with higher price growth for durable goods (2.7 per cent). Additionally, shelter price growth continues to cool, with prices growing by 2.9 per cent in June, slightly down from 3.0 per cent in May. Furthermore, the CPI ex-energy rose by 2.7 per cent in June. Food purchased in grocery stores rose at a slower pace of 2.8 per cent year-over-year compared to 3.3 per cent the previous month. In BC, consumer prices rose 2.1 per cent year-over-year in June, down from 2.3 per cent in May. The Bank of Canada's preferred measures of median and trimmed inflation, which strip out volatile components, are at 3.1 per cent and 3.0 per cent year-over-year, respectively. 
 
June's CPI report illustrates ongoing upward pressure on prices despite monthly fluctuations in headline inflation. The Bank of Canada's core measures of inflation remain at the upper end—and even outside—of their target range, likely due to the price impacts of tariffs on major Canadian industries. Moreover, Canada remains vulnerable to further price acceleration with renewed tariff threats from the United States. Taken together, this report favours a rate hold from the Bank during its July meeting, as they have repeatedly signalled hesitancy to enact policy that may accelerate inflation beyond neutral levels amidst immense uncertainty concerning trade policy. 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that 7,162 residential unit sales were recorded in Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) Systems in June 2025, up 1.3 per cent from June 2024. The average MLS® residential price in BC in June 2025 was down 4.2 per cent at $954,065 compared to $995,614 in June 2024.

The total sales dollar volume was $6.8 billion, a 3 per cent decrease from the same time the previous year. BC MLS® unit sales were 23 per cent lower than the ten-year June average.
 
“Many regional housing markets across BC remained resilient through the second quarter, with only the Lower Mainland falling below sales activity from the previous year,” said BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “Until broader uncertainties are resolved, we expect overall housing activity in the most expensive areas of the province to continue lagging behind other regions that have steadily recovered since the onset of tariff uncertainty.”
 
Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume is down 11 per cent to $34.2 billion, compared with the same period in 2024. Residential unit sales are down 7.1 per cent year-over-year at 35,847 units, while the average MLS® residential price is also down 4.2 per cent to $954,241.

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Canadian employment increased by 0.4 per cent from the previous month, gaining 83,000 jobs to 21.061 million in June. The employment rate rose 0.1 points to 60.9 per cent, while the unemployment rate fell by 0.1 points to 6.9 per cent. Average hourly wages rose 3.2 per cent year-over-year to $36.01 last month, while total hours worked were up 1.6 per cent compared to June of the previous year.

Employment in B.C. rose by 0.2 per cent to 2.968 million, gaining 5,000 jobs in June. Employment in Metro Vancouver rose by 1.1 per cent to 1.735 million in June. The unemployment rate in B.C. fell by 0.8 points to 5.6 per cent in June. Meanwhile, Vancouver's unemployment rate similarly fell by 0.6 points to 5.8 per cent in the sixth month of the year. 

June's jobs report marks the first meaningful increase in employment since January, breaking a trend of largely stagnant job creation in 2025. Notably, the vast majority of employment growth was concentrated in part-time positions, reflecting greater demand for temporary roles across many industries during the summer. Moreover, the Canadian labour market remains relatively weak, with the national unemployment rate hovering near its highest level since the pandemic. This report likely favours a neutral stance from the Bank of Canada and a rate hold at its meeting later this month, though resurgent tariff risks will complicate the Bank’s outlook.

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver* is $1,173,100. This represents a 2.8 per cent decrease over June 2024 and a 0.3 per cent decrease compared to May 2025.

Specifically:

- The benchmark price for detached homes decreased 3.2% from June 2024 and decreased 0.1% from May 2025.

- The benchmark price for townhouses/attached decreased 3.0% from June 2024 and decreased 0.3% from May 2025.

- The benchmark price for apartment/condos decreased 3.2% from June 2024 and decreased 1.2% from May 2025.

*Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.