Canadian housing starts were essentially flat in November, declining just 0.2 per cent to 264.2k units at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Comparing year-over-year, starts were down from November of 2021 (14 per cent). Single-detached housing starts fell 5 per cent to 67.8k, while multi-family and others rose 2 per cent to 196.4k (SAAR). 

In British Columbia, starts rose by 9 per cent in November to 50.5k units SAAR in all areas of the province. In areas in the province with 10,000 or more residents, single-detached starts fell 4 per cent m/m to 7.4k units while multi-family starts rose 13 per cent to 39.6k units. Starts in the province were 28 per cent above the levels from November 2021. Starts were up by 2k in Vancouver and 0.9k in Kelowna, but were down by 0.1k in Abbotsford and unchanged in Victoria. The 6-month moving average trend rose 3 per cent to 50.7k in BC in November. 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a total of 4,512 residential unit sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service^® (MLS^®) in November 2022, a decrease of 50.8 per cent from November 2021 and about 30 per cent below a historical average November. The average MLS^® residential price in BC was $906,785 an 8.6 per cent decrease from $992,245 recorded in November 2021. Total sales dollar volume was $4.1 billion, a 55 per cent decline from the same time last year. 

“A lot has changed in 2022,” said Brendon Ogmundson, Chief Economist. “This time last year, home sales were near a record for November, home prices were accelerating, and mortgage rates were less than half of current levels. Elevated mortgage rates will continue to constrain sales activity, though with the Bank of Canada nearing the end of its tightening cycle and benchmark bond yields falling, mortgage rate relief may be on the horizon.”

Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume was down 28.7 per cent from the same period in 2021 to $77.4 billion. Residential unit sales were down 34.4 per cent to 77,376 units, while the average MLS^® residential price was up 8.6 per cent to $1 million.   

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Canadian employment rose by a hair to 19.666 million in November, up by 10,000 (0.05 per cent). The Canadian unemployment rate fell by 0.1 to 5.1 per cent, hovering just above all-time lows. Average hourly wages were up 5.6 per cent from this time last year. Wage gains remain below the inflation rate, however, which hit 6.9 per cent year-over-year in the most-recent data. Total hours worked were up 1.8 per cent year-over-year. 

Employment in BC fell by 0.5 per cent to 2.748 million in November, while Metro Vancouver's employment rose by 0.1 per cent month over month. BC's unemployment rate rose in November to 4.4 per cent, still near record lows, while Metro Vancouver's rate rose to 4.7 per cent. Among the provinces, only Quebec and Saskatchewan currently have a lower unemployment rate. 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver* is currently $1,131,600. This represents a 1.5% decrease from Oct 2022 and a 0.6% decrease from November 2021.

Specifically:

- The benchmark price for detached homes decreased 1.9% from Oct 2022 and decreased 1.7% from Nov 2021.

- The benchmark price for townhouses decreased 0.9% from Oct 2022 and increased 3.5% from Nov 2021.

- The benchmark price for apartment/condos decreased 1.5% from Oct 2022 and increased 2.7% from Nov 2021.

*Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.

Canadian real GDP rose 0.1 per cent in September, up for the eighth consecutive month. Goods-producing sectors rose 0.3 per cent while services-producing industries were essentially flat. Canadian real GDP is now roughly 2.8 per cent above its pre-pandemic, February 2020 level. Preliminary estimates suggest that output in the Canadian economy was unchanged in October.

Growth in the third quarter of 2022 registered 2.9 per cent at an annualized rate from the prior quarter, rising for the fifth consecutive quarter. Businesses continued to expand their inventories, while retail and wholesale trade sectors recorded higher stocks of motor vehicles. Housing investment fell 4.1 per cent on higher interest rates, as home renovations (-6.6 per cent) and resale activities (-13.8 per cent) were down for the second and third consecutive quarters respectively. In contrast, new construction (+2.4 per cent) and business investment in non-residential structures (+2.8 per cent) both rose. Exports were up 2.1 per cent on higher oil production while household spending edged down 0.3 per cent in the third quarter, the first decline since the second quarter of 2021. 

GDP growth in the third quarter, though beating the Bank of Canada's expectations, continues to show signs of slowing. The slowdown in GDP growth will likely continue into 2023 as the bank continues and then perhaps concludes its tightening cycle. The Bank is expected to raise its overnight rate again at its upcoming rate announcement on December 8th, but analysts expect the pace of hikes to slow following that meeting. Currently at 3.75 per cent, we expect the overnight rate to increase another 50 to 100 basis points. GDP growth will remain slow, particularly in interest rate sensitive sectors like housing, while the bank continues to increase rates.

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Listed at $698,800:

BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 680k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. 

Canadian seasonally-adjusted retail sales fell 0.5 per cent in September to $61.1 billion. Sales fell in 7 of 11 subsectors, but were led by lower sales at food and beverage stores (-1.3 per cent) and gas stations (-2.4 per cent). Core retail sales, which strips out gasoline and motor vehicle and parts dealers, fell 0.4 per cent in September. In volume terms, sales were down 0.1 per cent. 

In BC, seasonally-adjusted sales fell 2 per cent in September. Compared to the same month last year, retail sales were up 3.1 per cent in the province. In the Greater Vancouver region, sales fell 3.8 per cent month-over-month and were up 3.5 per cent year-over-year. 

In September, Canadian e-commerce sales fell 3.3 per cent to $3.4 billion, corresponding to 5.7 per cent of retail sales. This percentage remains elevated relative to pre-pandemic levels, but is lower than during core months of the pandemic in 2020 and 2021. 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Listed at $698,800:

BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 680k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed. 

Canadian housing starts fell by 31.8k (-10.6 per cent) to 267.1k units in October at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Comparing year-over-year, starts were up from October of 2021 (11.5 per cent). Single-detached housing starts fell 4 per cent to 72.8k, while multi-family and others fell 13 per cent to 194.3k (SAAR). 

In British Columbia, starts fell by 14 per cent in October to 46.6k units SAAR in all areas of the province. In areas in the province with 10,000 or more residents, single-detached starts fell 4 per cent m/m to 7.7k units while multi-family starts fell 17 per cent to 35k units. Starts in the province were 29.5 per cent above the levels from October 2021. Starts were down by 6.1k in Vancouver, 1.1k in Abbotsford, and 0.6k in Kelowna, but were up by 4.1k in Victoria. The 6-month moving average trend fell 2.3 per cent to 49.3k in BC in October. 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a total of 5,242 residential unit sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service^® (MLS^®) in October 2022, a decrease of 45.5 per cent from October 2021. The average MLS^® residential price in BC was $932,979, a 3.1 per cent decrease from $963,011 recorded in October 2021. Total sales dollar volume was $4.9 billion, a 47.2 per cent decline from the same time last year. 

“Sales activity remains slow across the province and inventories appear to be plateauing,” said BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “While prices have fallen from peak levels reached in early 2022, average prices have recently leveled off.”
  

Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume was down 26.3 per cent from the same period in 2021 to $73.3 billion. Residential unit sales were down 33 per cent to 72,824 units, while the average MLS^® residential price was up 10 per cent to $1.01 million.

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Canadian prices, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 6.9 per cent on a year-over-year basis in October, a rate of change equal to the prior month. After falling for the prior three months, a rise in gasoline prices in October kept the CPI steady year-over-year. Excluding energy, the CPI rose 6.2 per cent year over year in October, down from 6.3 per cent last month. Rising interest rates also contributed to an increase in mortgage interest costs, which was up 11.2 per cent year-over-year as Canadians renewed or initiated higher-rate mortgages. Slowing increases in food prices, meanwhile, dampened overall CPI growth. Month-over-month, on a seasonally-adjusted basis, prices were up 0.6 per cent in October. In BC, consumer prices rose 7.8 per cent year-over-year, up from 7.7 per cent last month. Average hourly wages grew 5.6 per cent year-over-year in October, indicating a decline in purchasing power. 

October's CPI numbers continued to suggest that inflation may be slowing. Despite higher gasoline prices, slowing increases in food prices kept the annual rate of change in the CPI stable. Core inflation, however, remains well above the Bank of Canada's 2 per cent target and will need to decline significantly over the next several months before the Bank rethinks its current tightening policy. 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.

Listed at $698,800:

BIG, BRIGHT and in impeccable condition! This 1076 sq ft, 2 bed/2 bath, north-east corner unit in coveted STIRLING PLACE has lovely views & an open, efficient floor plan, w/many UPDATES incl: new laminate flooring & paint throughout, new S/S kitchen appliances, new screen doors & ceiling fans. Stays WARM in the cooler weather with a gas fireplace & has 2 BALCONIES. Well-managed building w/very proactive strata, 670k in CRF & new electric vehicle charging installed in parkade! Amenities incl: club room, gym, workshop, etc. CONVENIENT location in Uptown w/health services, schools, dining, shopping, banks, etc, all within 1-3 blocks. Directly across Royal City Centre Mall. Comes w/1 parking & 1 locker. No pets, no rentals allowed.