Steve Flynn  RE/MAX Crest Realty- Burnaby 

Cell: 604.785.3977 |


Canadian Monthly Real GDP Growth (October 2023) - December 22nd, 2023

Canadian Monthly Real GDP Growth (October 2023) - December 22nd, 2023

Canadian real GDP was nearly unchanged for the third consecutive month in October. Manufacturing contracted 0.6 per cent in October, led by declines in durable goods. Construction activity fell by 0.1 per cent, but residential construction continued to grow strongly, rising by 1.2 per cent from the prior month. Offices of real estate agents and brokers fell for the fourth consecutive month, dropping 6.8 per cent as home resales continues to soften amid elevated borrowing costs. Preliminary estimates suggest that output in the Canadian economy rose 0.1 per cent in November.

In October, Canadian inflation-adjusted GDP extended its streak of almost exactly zero growth or contraction in economic activity. Canadian real GDP is little changed from where it was in March, despite a large increase in the national population due to immigration. The economy continues to avoid a technical recession, but with per capita real GDP declining, Canadian GDP growth remains very soft. In addition, labour markets are gradually softening across Canada, and the inflation rate has shown signs of cooling, with 3-month moving averages of core inflation well below 3 per cent. Given this data, markets now broadly anticipate that the Bank of Canada will not raise its benchmark rate further. The question is, instead, how quickly the Bank will cut rates in 2024, with the balance of probabilities on cuts beginning in the spring and accumulating by the summer and towards the end of the year. The next rate announcement is on next Wednesday, January 24th. 

Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.


No comments

Post Your Comment:

Your email will not be published
Reciprocity Logo The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the GVR, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the GVR, the FVREB or the CADREB.