Posted on
October 30, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
The Bank of Canada lowered its overnight policy rate by 25 basis points this morning from 2.5% to 2.25%. In the statement accompanying the decision, the Bank noted that GDP growth is expected to be weak over the second half of 2025 but will get some support from rising consumer and government spending as well as residential investment. However, the labour market remains soft with unemployment at 7.1%. The Bank expects the Canadian economy to expand by 1.2% this year, followed by similarly weak growth of 1.1% in 2026 before picking up slightly to 1.7% in 2027. On inflation, the Bank sees underlying inflation steady at around 2.5% and expects inflationary pressures to ease in the months ahead. Finally, the Bank provides some forward-looking guidance on rates stating that if economic activity evolves broadly in line with its current projection, it judges the current policy rate of 2.25% as the right level to keep inflation at its 2% target. The Bank appears reassured that it can focus on supporting the economy through rate-cuts without risking an acceleration of inflation, particularly given Canada is dropping most of its retaliatory tariffs. At 2.25%, the overnight rate is at the bottom threshold of what the Bank considers neutral for the economy, and adequate to keep inflation at 2%. Given a still uncertain outlook and the potential for further disruptions to trade policy, we anticipate the Bank may need to cut at least one more time over the next six months. Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.
Posted on
October 24, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
Canadian retail sales increased by 1.0 per cent to $70.4 billion in August compared to the previous month. Compared to the same time last year, retail sales were up by 4.9 per cent. Furthermore, core retail sales, which exclude gasoline and automobile items, were up 1.1 per cent month-over-month. In volume terms, adjusted for rising prices, retail sales increased by 1.0 per cent in August.
Retail sales in British Columbia were largely unchanged in August from the previous month and rose by 6.9 per cent compared to the same time last year. In the CMA of Vancouver, retail sales were down 0.8 per cent from the prior month and were 5.9 per cent above the level of August 2024. Strong activity in August further demonstrates monthly volatility in Canadian retail sales, as six of nine subsectors rose following a weak previous month. Moreover, broader resilience in core retail sales signifies ongoing strength in household consumption despite weaker economic and labour market conditions. In spite of a slight uptick in headline and core inflation, financial markets are still expecting a second consecutive rate cut from the Bank of Canada next week. Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.
Posted on
October 23, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
Canadian prices, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 2.4 per cent on a year-over-year basis in September, up from a 1.9 per cent increase in August. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the CPI was up 0.4 per cent in September. The CPI ex-gasoline increased by 2.6 per cent in September after rising 2.4 per cent in August. Additionally, shelter price growth remained at 2.6 per cent in September, while food price growth rose by 3.8 per cent year-over-year, 0.4 points higher than the previous month. In BC, consumer prices rose 1.9 per cent year-over-year in September, up from 1.8 per cent in August. The Bank of Canada's preferred measures of median and trimmed inflation, which strip out volatile components, were 3.2 per cent and 3.1 per cent year-over-year, respectively. September’s CPI report certainly complicates the Bank of Canada’s upcoming decision, with headline and core inflation ticking upward. While base-year effects explain some of the upward price pressures, acceleration in certain aggregates such as food prices will certainly concern the Bank. Nonetheless, the Bank has emphasized that underlying inflation—while higher than preferred—remains stable at around 2.5 per cent, which, coupled with weak economic conditions, suggests a rate cut is on the horizon before year-close. Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.
Posted on
October 22, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
Canadian housing starts increased 14 per cent from the previous month, totaling 279,234 units in September at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Starts were up 25 per cent from the same month last year. Single-detached housing starts increased by 1 per cent from last month to 55,408 units, while multi-family and other starts increased by 18 per cent to 223,825 units (SAAR).
In British Columbia, starts fell by 20 per cent from last month to 37,305 units (SAAR) in all areas of the province. In areas of the province with 10,000 or more residents, single-detached starts decreased by 5 per cent to 3,965 units, while multi-family starts fell by 23 per cent to 30,197 units month-over-month. Starts in the province were 15 per cent below the levels from September 2024. Year-to-date starts are up 101 per cent in Abbotsford and 23 per cent in Victoria, but down 55 per cent in Nanaimo, 42 per cent in Kelowna, and 0.6 per cent in Vancouver. Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.
Posted on
October 19, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
Total MLS® residential sales dollar volume was $5.5 billion, up 4.8 per cent from the same time the previous year. BC MLS® unit sales were 21.4 per cent lower than the ten-year average for the month of September.
“Home sales in the province are gaining momentum following a slow first half of 2025,” said BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “We anticipate sales will finish the year strong, aided by lower interest rates helping to unleash pent-up demand.”
Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume is down 7.3 per cent to $51.8 billion, compared with the same period in 2024. Residential unit sales are down 4.2 per cent year-over-year at 54,594 units, while the average MLS® residential price is also down 3.3 per cent to $949,203. Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.
Posted on
October 12, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
Canadian employment increased by 0.3 per cent from the previous month, gaining 60,000 jobs to 21.015 million in September. The employment rate rose by 0.1 points to 60.6 per cent, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.1 per cent. Average hourly wages rose 3.3 per cent year-over-year to $36.78 last month. Employment in B.C. rose by 0.3 per cent to 2.944 million, gaining 7,800 jobs in September. Employment in Metro Vancouver increased by 0.8 per cent to 1.691 million. The unemployment rate in B.C. increased by 0.2 points to 6.4 per cent in September. Meanwhile, Vancouver's unemployment rate fell by 0.2 points to 6.2 per cent in the ninth month of the year. While September’s jobs report marks a moderate rebound, the Canadian labour market remains weak following a loss of over 100,000 jobs from previous months. Overall, net employment growth has been largely flat since January, and the national unemployment rate remains at its highest level since May 2016 (excluding pandemic years). Therefore, this report, albeit positive, is unlikely to sway the Bank of Canada in its decision during its October meeting. Nonetheless, financial markets still favour one more rate cut this year, as the Bank seeks to address underlying economic weakness as the inflationary risks of tariffs subside.
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Copyright British Columbia Real Estate Association. Reprinted with permission.
Posted on
October 7, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver* is $1,132,500. This represents a 3.4 per cent decrease over October 2024 and a 0.8 per cent decrease compared to September 2025. Specifically: - The benchmark price for detached homes decreased 4.3% from Oct 2024 and decreased 0.9% from Sep 2025. - The benchmark price for attached/townhouses decreased 3.8% from Oct 2024 and decreased 0.3% from Sep 2025. - The benchmark price for apartment/condos decreased 5.1 % from Oct 2024 and decreased 1.4% from Sep 2025. *Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.
Posted on
October 6, 2025
by
Steve Flynn
Another Bank of Canada rate cut and easing prices helped home sales registered on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver* edge higher relative to September last year. The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 1,875 in September 2025, a 1.2 per cent increase from the 1,852 sales recorded in September 2024. This was 20.1 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (2,348). “With another cut to Bank of Canada’s policy rate behind us, and markets pricing in at least one more cut by the end of the year, Metro Vancouver homebuyers have reason to be optimistic about the fall market,” said Andrew Lis, GVR’s director of economics and data analytics. “Easing prices, near-record high inventory levels, and increasingly favourable borrowing costs are offering those looking to purchase a home this fall with plenty of opportunity.” There were 6,527 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in September 2025. This represents a 6.2 per cent increase compared to the 6,144 properties listed in September 2024. This was 20.1 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (5,434). The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 17,079, a 14.4 per cent increase compared to September 2024 (14,932). This is 36.1 per cent above the 10-year seasonal average (12,553). Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for September 2025 is 11.3 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 8.5 per cent for detached homes, 12.7 per cent for attached, and 13.3 per cent for apartments. Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months. “The past few years have been quite challenging for the market, beginning with 2022’s rapid increase in interest rates, major political and policy shifts in subsequent years, and recent trade tensions with the USA weighing on the market,” Lis said. “With the acute impacts of these events now fading, we expect market activity to continue stabilizing to end the year, barring any unforeseeable major disruptions.” The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,142,100. This represents a 3.2 per cent decrease over September 2024 and a 0.7 per cent decrease compared to August 2025. Sales of detached homes in September 2025 reached 552, a 7 per cent increase from the 516 detached sales recorded in September 2024. The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,933,100. This represents a 4.4 per cent decrease from September 2024 and a 0.9 per cent decrease compared to August 2025. Sales of apartment homes reached 954 in September 2025, a 1.5 per cent increase compared to the 940 sales in September 2024. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $728,800. This represents a 4.4 per cent decrease from September 2024 and a 0.8 per cent decrease compared to August 2025. Attached home sales in September 2025 totalled 356, a 5.8 per cent decrease compared to the 378 sales in September 2024. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,069,800. This represents a 2.7 per cent decrease from September 2024 and a 0.9 per cent decrease compared to August 2025. *Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.
Categories:
Abbotsford West, Abbotsford Real Estate
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Bolivar Heights, North Surrey Real Estate
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Brentwood Park, Burnaby North Real Estate
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Brighouse, Richmond Real Estate
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Burnaby
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Burnaby Real Estate
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Burnaby South Real Estate
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Cape Horn, Coquitlam Real Estate
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Cariboo, Burnaby North Real Estate
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Central BN, Burnaby North Real Estate
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Central Coquitlam, Coquitlam
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Central Coquitlam, Coquitlam Real Estate
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Champlain Heights, Vancouver East
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Champlain Heights, Vancouver East Real Estate
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Cloverdale BC, Cloverdale Real Estate
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Cloverdale BC, Surrey Real Estate
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Cloverdale Real Estate
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Coal Harbour, Vancouver West Real Estate
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Coaquitlam
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College Park PM, Port Moody Real Estate
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Collingwood VE, Vancouver East Real Estate
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Coquitlam
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Coquitlam West, Coquitlam Real Estate
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Downtown NW, New Westminster Real Estate
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Downtown VW, Vancouver West
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Downtown VW, Vancouver West Real Estate
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Eagleridge, Coquitlam Real Estate
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False Creek North, Vancouver West
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Fraserview NW, New Westminster
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Fraserview NW, New Westminster Real Estate
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Fraserview VE, Vancouver East Real Estate
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GlenBrooke North, New Westminster Real Estate
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Grandview Surrey, Surrey Real Estate
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Harrison Hot Springs Real Estate
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Hastings, Vancouver East Real Estate
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Highgate, Burnaby South Real Estate
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Hockaday, Coquitlam Real Estate
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January 2014 Sales in Greater Vancouver
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Metrotown, Burnaby South Real Estate
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New Horizons, Coquitlam Real Estate
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New Westminster Real Estate
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Port Moody
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Port Moody Real Estate
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Quay, New Westminster Real Estate
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Queensborough, New Westminster Real Estate
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Richmond Real Estate
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Riverdale RI, Richmond Real Estate
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Riverwood, Port Coquitlam Real Estate
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Sapperton, New Westminster Real Estate
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Simon Fraser Univer., Burnaby North Real Estate
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Surrey
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The Heights NW, New Westminster
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The Heights NW, New Westminster Real Estate
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Tsawwassen Central, Tsawwassen Real Estate
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Uptown NW, New Westminster Real Estate
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Uptown, New Westminster Real Estate
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Vancouver
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Vancouver East Real Estate
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Videocast of January 2014 sales
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Walnut Grove, Langley Real Estate
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West Central, Maple Ridge Real Estate
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West End VW, Vancouver West Real Estate
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Whalley, North Surrey Real Estate
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Whalley, Surrey Real Estate
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Willoughby Heights, Langley Real Estate
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